U. Católica vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2002 |
CSD
3 - 1
UCO
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 1
FLA
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 3
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2002 |
ONC
3 - 0
UCO
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
SWA
1 - 1
UCO
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
USF
0 - 1
COQ
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2002 |
UNI
3 - 1
USF
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
USF
4 - 1
CSL
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
UCH
2 - 0
USF
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
USF
0 - 1
HUA
24%
24%
51%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |