U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
7º
6º
7
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 52 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 49 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 48 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 46 |
6º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 45 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 44 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 43 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 28 |
16º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
37% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
36.5% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 0
HUA
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 3
DLS
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
OHI
2 - 0
UCO
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
OHI
1 - 0
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
25%
24%
51%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 2
LIM
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
UNI
4 - 0
DGV
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
COL
4 - 1
UNI
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |