U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
COQ
2 - 3
UCO
19%
25%
56%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 3
UCO
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
UCO
1 - 1
NUB
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAL
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 2
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
UNI
40%
25%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 1
CSL
52%
24%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
COL
0 - 1
UNI
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |