U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SWA
3 - 0
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 0
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 2
UCO
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
IQU
2 - 6
UCO
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
STR
5 - 0
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
5 - 2
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
STR
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
OHI
2 - 0
UNI
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
CER
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |