U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
UCO
16%
23%
61%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 0
UCH
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ACS
1 - 2
UCO
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
UCO
2 - 0
EVE
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
COL
59%
21%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 2
UNI
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
ANT
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SWA
0 - 2
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
OHI
58%
22%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |