U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
MAG
1 - 0
UCO
11%
19%
71%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
IQU
3 - 2
UCO
46%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
TOL
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
ULC
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 0
OHI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
ACS
50%
21%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DLS
2 - 1
UNI
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
5 - 2
UCH
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
PAL
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |