U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 0
COB
62%
21%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
VEL
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
USF
1 - 2
UCO
36%
26%
39%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
CFC
0 - 2
UCO
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
OHI
0 - 0
UNI
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 2
CFC
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 1
ULC
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
UNI
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
IQU
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |