Apertura Finals Semi-finals
Global 0-0
U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 4
UCO
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
UCO
4 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCH
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
UNI
6 - 1
OHI
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
OHI
1 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 2
NUB
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CUR
1 - 3
UNI
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |