U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 4
UCO
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 1
COB
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 3
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 0
ANT
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
UNI
1 - 2
COQ
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CON
3 - 2
UNI
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAL
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 2
UNI
54%
23%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
UNI
4 - 0
LOT
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +2 |