Clausura Finals Semi-finals
Global 4-4
U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2004 |
UNI
3 - 1
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
UCO
6 - 2
DEP
63%
19%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2004 |
DEP
3 - 1
UCO
39%
24%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 1
CSL
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2004 |
UNI
3 - 1
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
UCH
3 - 2
UNI
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2004 |
UNI
4 - 3
UCH
46%
25%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 1
EVE
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
USF
0 - 2
UNI
29%
24%
46%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |