U. Católica vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
NUB
1 - 1
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 1
PAL
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 0
IQU
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
COQ
1 - 0
UCO
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2025 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
DLS
1 - 0
ULC
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ULC
1 - 0
HUA
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
ULC
2 - 2
OHI
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2025 |
UCH
1 - 0
ULC
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
ULC
4 - 0
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |