Apertura Finals Semi-finals
Global 2-2
U. Católica vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
ULC
2 - 1
UCO
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
COL
2 - 4
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2011 |
DLS
2 - 2
UCO
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
PEÑ
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
ULC
2 - 1
UCO
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
ULC
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
ULC
1 - 0
UNI
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SWA
1 - 1
ULC
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ULC
2 - 0
NUB
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |