U. Católica vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ACS
0 - 0
UCO
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
BVS
1 - 1
UCO
32%
25%
44%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
4 - 1
IQU
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
NUB
0 - 2
UCO
21%
22%
57%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
COL
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
USF
1 - 1
ULC
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
ULC
2 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
ULC
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ULC
2 - 2
EVE
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
ULC
1 - 0
SAN
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |