U. Católica vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 1
PUE
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
EVE
1 - 0
UCO
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
UCH
0 - 1
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 0
DLS
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 0
TIG
44%
25%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
TIG
1 - 0
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
DOR
1 - 1
TIG
29%
26%
46%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
TIG
1 - 1
AME
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
MON
2 - 1
TIG
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |