U. Católica vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 0
IQU
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
COQ
1 - 0
UCO
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2025 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
ULC
2 - 2
UCO
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 1
UCO
13%
20%
67%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 2
ACS
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 3
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 1
CSL
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 1
UNI
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 2
ACS
56%
22%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |