U. Católica vs O'Higgins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
UCO
78%
14%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 0
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 1
PAL
15%
25%
61%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 2
EVE
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 0
UCO
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
OHI
1 - 1
CSL
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
OHI
2 - 2
NUB
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
NUB
1 - 1
OHI
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
COB
2 - 1
OHI
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
OHI
1 - 0
COB
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |