U. Católica vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
COL
0 - 0
UCO
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UCH
1 - 0
UCO
23%
23%
55%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 0
HUA
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DLS
0 - 4
UCO
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
UCH
0 - 3
UCO
24%
25%
50%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NUB
2 - 2
OHI
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
NUB
2 - 1
HUA
54%
23%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HUA
1 - 0
NUB
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
EVE
1 - 1
NUB
35%
30%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NUB
2 - 0
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |