U. Católica vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
DLS
0 - 2
UCO
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UCO
1 - 0
UCH
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
UCO
4 - 0
ANT
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
OHI
1 - 3
UCO
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
UCO
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
NUB
6 - 1
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
OHI
1 - 1
NUB
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
NUB
1 - 0
UCH
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ANT
2 - 1
NUB
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NUB
1 - 1
EVE
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |