U. Católica vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2014 |
NUB
1 - 0
UCO
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 0
CUR
86%
10%
3%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 1
ULC
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
COL
2 - 2
UCO
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 0
ANT
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2014 |
NUB
1 - 0
UCO
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
CUR
5 - 2
NUB
12%
19%
69%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NUB
3 - 5
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
EVE
1 - 1
NUB
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NUB
0 - 2
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |