U. Católica vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
COB
1 - 3
UCO
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 3
UCO
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCO
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
IQU
3 - 2
UCO
47%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NUB
0 - 3
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
NUB
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
NUB
3 - 1
HUA
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
COB
4 - 2
NUB
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
NUB
0 - 3
UCH
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |