U. Católica vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
DLS
1 - 2
UCO
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 1
CSL
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
IQU
0 - 4
UCO
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CSD
1 - 1
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
UCO
3 - 3
CSD
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NUB
2 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
COB
3 - 0
NUB
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NUB
2 - 1
ACS
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
NUB
0 - 2
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ACS
1 - 1
NUB
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |