U. Católica vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
COB
0 - 1
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCH
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CSD
2 - 2
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
AME
36%
24%
41%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCO
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
NUB
3 - 2
ACS
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
HUA
1 - 2
NUB
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
NUB
3 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
ANT
0 - 1
NUB
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 0
NUB
38%
26%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |