U. Católica vs CDS Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
NUB
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
COL
0 - 3
UCO
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 4
UCH
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
UCH
0 - 2
UCO
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 0
ULC
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
NTA
2 - 0
ANT
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
NUB
1 - 0
NTA
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
NTA
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
NTA
2 - 2
LOT
50%
25%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
NTA
3 - 1
DLI
43%
25%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |