U. Católica vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
EVE
1 - 2
UCO
25%
25%
49%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 0
GRE
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 0
CUR
67%
21%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
UCO
5 - 0
PAL
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
COL
2 - 3
UCO
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
5 - 1
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 0
CEN
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CCP
1 - 2
LIB
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 2
AME
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |