U. Católica vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
7º
5º
21
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 54 |
1º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 53 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 52 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 47 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 45 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 45 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 45 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 43 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 40 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 38 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 38 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 29 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 24 |
16º
|
57.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
12% | 3% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
53.5% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
31% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 3
DLS
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
OHI
2 - 0
UCO
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
UCH
1 - 0
UCO
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
HUA
0 - 1
NUB
39%
27%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
ACS
4 - 3
HUA
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
UCH
5 - 1
HUA
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
DEP
4 - 2
HUA
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
IQU
3 - 0
HUA
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |