Copa Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-3
U. Católica vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
ULC
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 0
OHI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
ACS
0 - 3
UCO
49%
23%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CSD
1 - 0
UCO
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
3 - 0
UNI
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
4 - 1
AGU
54%
24%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
EQU
1 - 0
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
HUI
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
AGU
4 - 1
TOL
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |