Copa Chile 1/16
Global 5-5
U. Católica vs Deportes Iquique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
IQU
1 - 1
UCO
26%
24%
51%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 1
UCO
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 1
CSL
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 0
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 2
UCO
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Iquique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
IQU
1 - 1
UCO
26%
24%
51%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
IQU
2 - 2
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
IQU
5 - 1
UCO
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
DSC
1 - 3
IQU
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
IQU
1 - 1
MAG
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |