Apertura Finals Semi-finals
Global 3-3
U. Católica vs Deportes Iquique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
IQU
2 - 2
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ULC
0 - 2
UCO
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 0
COL
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ANT
2 - 0
UCO
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
UCO
2 - 1
OHI
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Iquique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
IQU
2 - 2
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
IQU
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
IQU
0 - 1
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CSD
0 - 0
IQU
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
IQU
1 - 0
CSL
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |