U. Católica vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
IQU
0 - 1
UCO
24%
24%
51%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 0
HUA
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
UCO
1 - 1
SWA
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -3 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ACS
2 - 2
UCO
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
CUR
2 - 0
ANT
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
PAL
4 - 2
CUR
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 0
CUR
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
CUR
0 - 1
CSL
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
EVE
3 - 1
CUR
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |