Clausura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
U. Católica vs Rangers Talca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
NUB
0 - 2
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
UCO
4 - 3
COB
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
UCH
2 - 1
UCO
46%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
CSD
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
ACS
3 - 0
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CSD
1 - 0
UCH
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 1
CSD
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
CDM
2 - 1
CSD
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CSD
2 - 3
UCO
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
CSD
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |