U. Católica vs Rangers Talca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
COL
1 - 1
UCO
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
UCO
3 - 3
COQ
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
HUA
1 - 2
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
SWA
1 - 3
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
UCO
3 - 2
DEP
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CSD
4 - 2
SWA
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
DEP
2 - 2
CSD
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CSD
2 - 1
UCO
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
COB
5 - 2
CSD
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
CSD
1 - 2
ACS
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |