Copa Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-7
U. Católica vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2019 |
IVT
5 - 0
UCO
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
UCO
5 - 1
ANT
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CSL
0 - 2
UCO
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
UCO
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
OHI
1 - 0
UCO
26%
24%
50%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
DEL
0 - 1
IVT
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
IVT
5 - 0
UCO
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
IVT
1 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
ORE
0 - 0
IVT
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
IVT
33%
26%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |