U. Católica vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
UCH
1 - 2
UCO
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
UCO
3 - 0
NUB
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
UCO
3 - 1
EVE
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
LOT
0 - 1
UCO
25%
27%
49%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCO
31%
27%
41%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CON
3 - 1
CDM
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
UCH
5 - 2
CON
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
CON
4 - 3
HUA
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
SWA
0 - 0
CON
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
DLS
2 - 1
CON
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |