Apertura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
U. Católica vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
CON
1 - 2
UCO
27%
25%
49%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
CSD
1 - 3
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
EVE
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
CSL
0 - 0
UCO
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
UCO
4 - 1
COB
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
CON
1 - 2
UCO
27%
25%
49%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
DEP
1 - 1
CON
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
CON
1 - 2
UCO
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 2
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
CON
2 - 0
COL
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |