U. Católica vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 1
ANT
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COL
3 - 0
UCO
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 2
HUA
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
OHI
4 - 3
UCO
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
CSL
0 - 0
ULC
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
SFE
3 - 0
CSL
63%
22%
14%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +4 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ACS
0 - 1
CSL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
CSL
1 - 2
SFE
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SWA
3 - 1
CSL
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |