U. Católica vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
UCO
4 - 1
DLS
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
UCO
5 - 0
EVE
69%
19%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 0
PUE
67%
19%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
CSL
5 - 1
SWA
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
DEP
3 - 3
CSL
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CSL
3 - 2
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
COB
1 - 1
CSL
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
CSL
1 - 1
ACS
45%
24%
30%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |