Copa Chile Last 16
Global 2-2
U. Católica vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 1
ULC
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 3
LIB
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
COB
2 - 1
IBE
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
EVE
2 - 1
COB
23%
28%
50%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
COB
2 - 0
CON
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
DCO
1 - 2
COB
21%
26%
53%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |