U. Católica vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
VEL
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
USF
1 - 2
UCO
36%
26%
39%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
CFC
0 - 2
UCO
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 0
NUB
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
COB
1 - 0
PAL
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
COB
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
COB
2 - 3
OHI
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ACS
1 - 0
COB
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
COB
0 - 1
ULC
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |