U. Católica vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
UCH
2 - 1
UCO
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
ANT
3 - 2
UCO
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 0
OHI
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
UCO
78%
14%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 0
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
DLS
1 - 1
ANT
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
HUA
0 - 0
DLS
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
DLS
4 - 3
PAL
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
COL
4 - 0
DLS
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
DLS
1 - 3
COL
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |