U. Católica vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
AME
0 - 0
UCO
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
UCO
2 - 1
SCI
37%
27%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
UCO
3 - 0
UCH
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 0
UCO
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
IQU
2 - 0
DLS
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
DLS
4 - 2
PAL
19%
25%
56%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
UCH
3 - 0
DLS
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
DLS
0 - 2
UNI
19%
26%
56%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 1
DLS
70%
19%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |