U. Católica vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
MAG
0 - 1
UCO
17%
21%
62%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
MAG
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 2
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCO
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DLS
2 - 1
COB
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CSL
2 - 1
DLS
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
DLS
3 - 2
UNI
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DLS
2 - 1
USF
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SWA
0 - 2
DLS
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |