U. Católica vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 4
UCO
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
UCO
0 - 1
EVE
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
EVE
1 - 1
UCO
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
DLS
1 - 0
CDM
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
CSD
2 - 1
DLS
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
DLS
1 - 1
ACS
38%
25%
38%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
DLS
5 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
PAL
0 - 2
DLS
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |