U. Católica vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
USF
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
UCO
35%
26%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NUB
2 - 0
UCO
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
IQU
0 - 0
UCO
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 0
SMA
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
VEL
39%
27%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 2
SLO
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NOB
1 - 1
VEL
27%
28%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 1
CAU
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |