U. Católica vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2001 |
VAS
2 - 1
UCO
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
UCO
4 - 0
PUE
80%
13%
6%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
UCO
1 - 0
CCP
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
UCO
4 - 0
OHI
78%
15%
8%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
RIV
1 - 1
BOC
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2001 |
CCP
2 - 1
BOC
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
BOC
3 - 1
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
GLP
2 - 2
BOC
34%
25%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
BOC
0 - 0
COL
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |