U. Católica vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
0 - 2
SEV
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
UCO
15%
21%
64%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 3
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
PAL
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
UCO
15%
21%
64%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
15%
21%
65%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 0
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |