U. Católica vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 0
BAR
82%
14%
5%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 0
BAR
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
ULC
1 - 0
UCO
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
UCO
2 - 0
ULC
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
UCO
5 - 0
CSL
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 0
ACS
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
ACS
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
COQ
1 - 0
ACS
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ACS
2 - 4
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
IQU
1 - 3
ACS
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |