U. Católica vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COL
3 - 0
UCO
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 2
HUA
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
OHI
4 - 3
UCO
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
UCO
4 - 2
UNI
55%
22%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 4
UCO
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
ANT
3 - 1
ULC
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
ANT
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ANT
3 - 0
HUA
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COL
2 - 1
ANT
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
ANT
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |