U. Católica vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
UCO
5 - 0
EVE
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
COB
2 - 3
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
UCO
4 - 2
UCH
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
USF
1 - 3
UCO
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 1
SAM
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
AYA
2 - 2
ALI
35%
27%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 1
TOT
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 1
ALI
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 2
UNI
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |