United Zürich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
77.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
UZU
4 - 2
KOS
56%
20%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
UZU
2 - 2
AAR
71%
16%
14%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MUT
2 - 4
UZU
25%
22%
54%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
UZU
5 - 0
LIE
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
KRU
0 - 1
UZU
18%
20%
62%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 2
WIN
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
FCA
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FCA
2 - 3
BIE
62%
20%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 0
FCA
34%
25%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 1
WOH
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |