Unit Samara vs Neftekhimik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unit Samara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2007 |
VOL
1 - 0
UNS
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2007 |
UNS
1 - 3
SOK
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2007 |
UNS
2 - 2
VNN
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2007 |
ALA
3 - 1
UNS
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
UNS
1 - 1
SGI
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Neftekhimik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2007 |
NEF
2 - 1
ALA
27%
27%
46%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2007 |
SGI
2 - 1
NEF
68%
20%
12%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2007 |
NEF
2 - 0
RUB
66%
21%
14%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2007 |
AKT
1 - 0
NEF
63%
21%
17%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
NEF
3 - 2
DIN
25%
27%
48%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +4 |